Predicts the Spartans will lead the Region 16 playoff race this year with a 99% chance of picking up the home game for game 1.

Check out his web site – Math is cool.

Region 16 Playoff Berth Probabilities

Waynesville 100% (8W-20.9H-100%)

Madeira (Cincinnati) 99% (7W-14.3H-84% 8W-16.0H-98% 9W-19.1H-100%)

Bishop Fenwick (Franklin) 96% (6W-12.4H-19% 7W-14.5H-66% 8W-17.4H-99% 9W-20.6H-100%)

Clinton-Massie (Clarksville) 93% (5W-10.9H-4% 6W-13.4H-47% 7W-16.1H-97% 8W-19.0H-100%)

Brookville 82% (5W-11.0H-8% 6W-13.0H-36% 7W-15.1H-85% 8W-17.8H-99% 9W-21.5H-100%)

East Clinton (Lees Creek) 49% (6W-11.9H-12% 7W-14.8H-80% 8W-18.4H-100%)

Cincinnati Hills Christian (Cincinnati) 43% (5W-10.1H-1% 6W-13.1H-31% 7W-16.2H-97% 8W-19.3H-100%)

Badin (Hamilton) 40% (5W-10.2H-2% 6W-12.8H-29% 7W-16.0H-91% 8W-19.4H-100%)

Milton-Union (West Milton) 39% (6W-10.4H-1% 7W-12.9H-29% 8W-15.6H-90% 9W-19.9H-100%)

North College Hill (Cincinnati) 37% (6W-11.8H-6% 7W-14.8H-78% 8W-17.8H-100%)

Chaminade-Julienne (Dayton) 30% (5W-11.6H-10% 6W-14.6H-67% 7W-18.1H-100%)

Valley View (Germantown) 28% (5W-11.0H-5% 6W-14.4H-64% 7W-18.0H-99% 8W-22.0H-100%)

Blanchester 21% (7W-12.9H-24% 8W-15.9H-91% 9W-19.2H-100%)

Roger Bacon (St Bernard) 19% (5W-12.4H-19% 6W-15.5H-81% 7W-19.2H-100%)

Westfall (Williamsport) 10% (7W-13.1H-24% 8W-17.0H-99%)

Carlisle 7% (6W-11.0H-2% 7W-14.1H-54%)

Madison (Middletown) 6% (6W-11.2H-5% 7W-14.2H-62% 8W-18.1H-100%)

via Drew Pasteur’s Fantastic 50.